IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ872030
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
38% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
54% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
37% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
14% chance
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.
47% chance