![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fadssx%2Fphnnmnu8v5.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?
Basic
11
Ṁ1.2k2035
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035. The legality of these settlements or outposts under Israeli law does not matter for this question to resolve YES.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
73% chance
Will Israel create any new settlements by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?
26% chance
Will Israel build any settlements in the Gaza Strip by 2028?
16% chance
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
33% chance
Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?
61% chance
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
50% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza and move to expel a majority of its current residents by 2025?
7% chance
Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?
26% chance
Will Israel attempt to make Gazans leave "voluntarily" in 2024?
61% chance