Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?
5
11kแน10k2026
51%
Google
50%
Anthropic
47%
xAI
45%
Any Chinese Company
Resolved
YESOpenAI
Each answer resolves Yes if they release an LLM in 2025 that has the highest score on AidanBench at any time in 2025, according to the AidanBench Github.
I may bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Here's the latest leaderboard, now hosted on AidanBench.com instead of the Github. GPT-4.5 scores highest of all non o-series models, Claude 3.7 scores worse than 3.5 (new), somehow o1 almost doubled its previous score and is back in first, and grok 3 still isn't on the leaderboard since there's no API access yet.
Related questions
Related questions
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2025?
Which AI companies will release a top-scoring LLM on the Scale AI Coding benchmark in 2025?
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? ๐ค๐
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
67% chance
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?
In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
61% chance