Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
7
1kṀ4902075
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Bankman-Fried still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
87% chance
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
24% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
69% chance
Will a top 2 Tech Leader Biographer write a book about Sam Altman before mid 2029
62% chance
Will Elizabeth Holmes have published a best-selling book before 2045
25% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried's Father be arrested or serve time related to FTX by end 2025?
10% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
15% chance
Sam Bankman-Fried in prison by 2030
99% chance
Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
7% chance