Will the 2023 Estonian parliament coalition stay the same until the next election in 2027? | Manifold

Will the 2023 Estonian parliament coalition stay the same until the next election in 2027?

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4

Ṁ87

2027

65%

chance

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1W

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After the Estonian parliamentary election on the 5th of March in 2023, a coalition was formed between the Reform Party, Estonia 200 and the Social Democratic Party, totalling 37 + 14 + 9 = 60 seats out of 101.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Estonian_parliamentary_election#Government_formation

The previous parliament had a change in coalition between elections in 2021 following a scandal: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Estonian_parliamentary_election#2021_change_in_government

The next election will be held in March of 2027: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Estonian_parliamentary_election

Resolves YES if the coalition remains the same until the next election in 2027.

Resolves NO of the coalition changes before the next election.

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Wassup Andri! Does this question resolve YES or NO if the same coalition remains until an early election? Like, if Riigikogu is dissolved next year for some reason, without the coalition falling apart before the election?

I would resolve NO if an early election happens and the coalition changes.

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