Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
8
100Ṁ2802027
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Elon Musk has stated on X (formerly known as Twitter) that the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2026:
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833?t=vksvLiovvh5ZD-XvdX5V0w&s=19
Market resolves YES if successful crewed or uncrewed launches happen before 1 January 2027 and NO otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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