Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2060?
➕
Plus
17
Ṁ779
2060
62%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

To clarify, does "SpaceX branded" mean that a NASA mission launched on a Starship (or other SpaceX rocket) wouldn't count?

@Nat05b9 https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/spacex-lands-people-on-mars-by-2030/ "A "SpaceX-branded" mission is defined to mean that the SpaceX-associated logos on the spacecraft involved (both the boosters and the Mars-bound craft) have a larger surface area than the logos of any other entity"

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules