Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030? | Manifold

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?

Plus

77

Ṁ6161

2030

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count. English Wikipedia, mainspace.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Any progress?

FWIW they use lots of basic bots already, so imho if they add an AI that at least e.g. detects prose as being probably-a-troll, that should count.

predicts YES

@NicholasKross this question specifies "adding substantive original cited prose"

predicts YES

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik-11fdf1b221ac

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik-332bd66c0db5

https://manifold.markets/market/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik

Related questions

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Will AI extend English before 2031?

Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors decrease by 2030?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors increase by 2030?

Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

Related questions

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will AI extend English before 2031?

Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors increase by 2030?

Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors decrease by 2030?

Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules