Will Twitter collapse by the end of 2030? | Manifold

Will Twitter collapse by the end of 2030?

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16

Ṁ4911

2030

35%

chance

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1W

1M

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Same resolution criteria as:

https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/when-will-twitter-actually-collapse?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

When will Twitter actually “collapse”?

“Collapse” is defined as a decline of 50% of monthly active users or daily active users (whichever happens first) from it’s all-time peak. If the site itself has widespread outages for more than two weeks straight, that will also count. As long as twitter has not collapsed, this market stays open u…

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