This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2025.
The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/).
This market will be resolved as YES if there are 3 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2025 in the column "Closing Date".
This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2026, there are fewer than 3 records with a "Closing Date" in 2025 on the "Failed Bank List".
All my questions about number of failed US banks:
2023
Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved YES)
Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved YES)
Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
2024
Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved YES)
Will 2 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved YES)
Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
2025
Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved YES)
Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2025? (this question)
1,000
3.00I see that the link https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ now redirects to page https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list
The content currently displayed on the new page looks very similar to what was shown on the previous page.
I will use data from the new page https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list for this market resolution.