If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
Basic
3
Ṁ100Jan 20
11%
Less than 15 states
18%
15-19
35%
20-24
22%
25-29
8%
30-34
7%
At least 35 states
Resolves according to this list of states and their abortion restrictions from Planned Parenthood. States with either red "Total ban on abortion" or yellow "severely" or "further" restricts abortion labels count.
If Trump doesn't become President, this market resolves N/A.
When this market was made, 21 states restricted abortion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Biden is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
Will Donald Trump sign any national legislation restricting abortion?
34% chance
How many states will flip in the 2024 election?
6
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
Will trump sign a 'national abortion ban' by the end of 2026?
11% chance
If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
If Trump wins, will abortion rates rise from the 2024 elections to the 2026 midterms?
46% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
5% chance
How many states will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry?
How many US states will pass bills to repeal abortion bans (or legalize abortion) in 2024?