If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many unemployed persons per job opening will the US have a year later?
Basic
1
Ṁ70Mar 31
8%
Less than 0.5
16%
0.6-0.7
16%
0.8-0.9
20%
1.0-1.2
20%
1.3-1.5
20%
More than 1.5
Resolves according to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey conducted by the US government every month. January 2025's figures will be used.
If Trump doesn't become President, this market resolves N/A.
As of November 2023, there were 0.7 unemployed persons per job opening.
The survey results tend to be released one or two months after the month ends, so I have set the closing date at the end of March. When we know the release date, this market's close date will be updated to close a day earlier.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?
If Trump wins the 2024 election, how many government employees will he fire using Schedule F by the end of his term?
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
45% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
45% chance
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
24% chance
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
We will experience a new record highs of unemployment during Trump's presidency.
33% chance
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?
38% chance