Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?
Basic
7
Ṁ2192026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Xi currently holds three offices: (1) General Secretary of the CCP, (2) President of the PRC, and (3) Chairman of the Central Military Commission.
Will he voluntarily step down from any of these roles before Jan 1, 2026?
(If new roles are assumed before 2026, they will not resolve this market. If existing offices are subsumed into new roles before 2026, their abdication may resolve this market.)
As what consitutes "voluntary" and "leaving office" may be subjective, I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2030?
32% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2027?
29% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2028?
33% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2029?
31% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2035?
76% chance
Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
70% chance
Will Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
66% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?
44% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life?
36% chance