Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?
Basic
8
Ṁ8102028
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
China currently has 3 aircraft carriers. South China Morning Post reports that China's 4th aircraft carrier "is expected to be launched between 2025 and 2027" while the CSBA forecasts China will continue to only have 3 aircraft carriers in 2026 (see table and footnote on pg. 72) but could have as many as 5 by 2031 (see pg. 52).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will China have a nuclear supertanker by 2027?
27% chance
Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?
76% chance
Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2027?
36% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
16% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
45% chance
Will China have 10 nuclear supertankers by 2030?
30% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
45% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
27% chance