Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2028?
Basic
1
Ṁ52029
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
John Thune is the Republican Party's newly elected Senate Leader as of Nov 2024. As of his election, he is 63 years old. He succeeds Mitch McConnell, who is the longest-serving Senate leader in US history, leading the Republicans since 2007.
This question resolves YES if John Thune ceases to be the Senate Republican Leader (for any reason, e.g. death, resignation, ousting) before the end of 2028. Otherwise, this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2029.
Note that the Senate Republican Leader can be either in the majority or in the minority. Ceasing to be the majority leader (by becoming the minority leader) would not count for the purposes of this question.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
41% chance
Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
48% chance
Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
49% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2028?
69% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2027?
64% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before 2030?
77% chance
If Republicans lose the House in 2024, will Mike Johnson become Minority Leader?
49% chance