Will the Conservative Party of Canada win a parliamentary supermajority in next federal election?
Basic
5
Ṁ1452025
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Canadian parliament is slated for a federal election on or before 20 October 2025.
There will be 348 electoral districts in the next election. A supermajority means 66%+1, which would be 230 seats for the next parliament.
338Canada currently projects the Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party winning 221 seats in the House of Commons.
Will the Conservatives win a supermajority in Canada's House of Commons at the conclusion of the next federal election?
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
78% chance
Which Canadian political party will win the 2nd most seats in next federal election?
Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
80% chance
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
14% chance
(Canada) Will the Liberals poll within 10 points of the Conservatives before next Federal Election?
37% chance
Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)
61% chance
Will the Liberal Party of Canada be the official opposition after the next Canadian election?
68% chance
Which of these parties will gain seats in the next 2025 Canadian election?
Will the NDP win a supermajority in the 2024 election in the Canadian province of British Columbia (BC)?
19% chance
Will the Conservative Party still exist in 2044?
76% chance