Will @cauli still be living in Australia at the end of 2024?
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5
Ṁ220
Jan 3
68%
chance

twitter.com/cauliflwr_human is me

i've lived in Sydney my whole life so far. will the allure of <probably the US> be (not) too much for me to resist?

resolves to YES if im still living in Australia at 0:00 UTC between 2024/25

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i'd be buying YES on this rn lmao

next year's market would be more interesting

yeah so worth mentioning is that i quit my job, and the Australian girl i had been chasing a few months ago is definitely no longer single lol

update, in the interests of making this market as accurate as possible:

  • caulicamp went well, feels like a thing i want to run yearly in Australia

  • i'm still single, unlikely that's going to change in the short term, and i attribute this to living in Australia where it's slim pickings :^)

  • there's other stuff going on in my life that makes things a bit higher variance that i don't want to comment on publicly just yet. tess and aspen might have some alpha here...

  • hoping i get to go to a few more tpot camps this year, especially jesscamp which i haven't been to before

  • i suspect any big decisions will come in October this year if nothing unexpected happens and there's something i want to change. this might be getting a bit late for me to have moved by the end of 2024, but E3 visas are pretty quick to approve if that's the route i'm gonna take

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