Will the NDP poll higher than the Liberals at any point before the next Canadian federal election?
11
160แน456Oct 21
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will be resolved based on the "Popular vote projection" on this page:
https://338canada.com/federal.htm
This is a poll aggregator, so a single poll is not enough for this to resolve YES.
As of the creation of this market, the Liberals were trending down.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
35% chance
Which party will win a plurality of seats in the next Canadian federal election?
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
42% chance
How many seats will the Liberal Party of Canada win in the next Canadian federal election?
Will the next federal Canadian election go to the liberals?
34% chance
Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)
80% chance
Will the NDP gain seats in the next federal election
21% chance
Will the Liberal Party of Canada be the official opposition after the next Canadian election?
65% chance
Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
50% chance
Will the Conservative Party of Canada win a parliamentary supermajority in next federal election?
17% chance