Will the NDP poll higher than the Liberals at any point before the next Canadian federal election?
13
160แน1061Oct 21
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will be resolved based on the "Popular vote projection" on this page:
https://338canada.com/federal.htm
This is a poll aggregator, so a single poll is not enough for this to resolve YES.
As of the creation of this market, the Liberals were trending down.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
85% chance
NDP official party status (12 seats) after 2025 Canadian election?
28% chance
Outcome of next Canadian federal election
Will the Liberal Party of Canada be the official opposition after the next Canadian election?
15% chance
Will there be a successful non-confidence vote in the Canadian Parliament before the next general election in Oct2025
13% chance
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
6% chance
Which party will win a plurality of seats in the next Canadian federal election?
Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)
96% chance
Will the NDP gain seats in the next federal election
2% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
85% chance
NDP official party status (12 seats) after 2025 Canadian election?
28% chance
Outcome of next Canadian federal election
Will the Liberal Party of Canada be the official opposition after the next Canadian election?
15% chance
Will there be a successful non-confidence vote in the Canadian Parliament before the next general election in Oct2025
13% chance
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
6% chance
Which party will win a plurality of seats in the next Canadian federal election?
Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)
96% chance
Will the NDP gain seats in the next federal election
2% chance