Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Ross Blocher: Yeah. I’m going to say there’s going to be a major E. coli outbreak this year, sadly tied to vegetables.
Carrie Poppy: In a particular area or just anywhere?
Ross Blocher: It’s just going to be newsworthy. I’ll say it’s a multi-state.
Carrie Poppy: US?
(Ross confirms.)
Okay, US. That’s fine. That’s specific enough for me. (Laughs.)
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
3.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.