@jacksonpolack Generally, Elon is known to play fast and loose with the law. His “$420 a share” tweet almost got him on the hook for millions, he allegedly violated fire safety regulations in Twitter’s headquarters, and his Tesla workplaces often violate the civil rights act. It’s true that the rich often avoid punishment, but Elon “messes around” more than the average rich person, so he may very well “find out” what a jail cell is like.
@cloudprism I think that depends on what your goal is! This isn't usually the sort of market I pay that much attention to, so don't worry about my opinion.
Mostly I think it should be clear to the participants what's included or not, and what the resolution criteria will be. And this one looked messy.
If you wanted to include that you could do something like "... as reported by credible sources ...". Or you could change to "arrest" or other terms that tend to have clear public records. You could restrict it to imprisoned (does that include jail, or just prison?). There are lots of things that could work!