If Kamala Harris assumes the presidency during Biden's second term, will she be the party nominee in 2028? | Manifold

If Kamala Harris assumes the presidency during Biden's second term, will she be the party nominee in 2028?

Plus

21

Ṁ2165

2028

55%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market has a very high chance of resolving as NA. However, if, for whatever reason, Biden steps down or passes away, and Kamala Harris becomes the president and decides to run for office in 2028 and then becomes the Democratic Party nominee, this market resolves as yes.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#2028 Presidential Primaries

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@costlySignal Biden isn't gonna have a second term, does this resolve N/A?

Most likely yes, but the presidential market still gives Biden 1% chance so I'm keeping this open in case anything crazy happens.

To clarify, this market is about the contingency in which Biden stops being the president before the four year term he was elected for ends.

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