What relatively unknown ideas, people, places, or things will become relatively well-known in the next few years? Add the title of any Wikipedia article to this market as an answer or leave a comment and I’ll add it for you.
Resolution will be based on the following source: https://pageviews.wmcloud.org/, where
"Date Type" = "Monthly"
"Project" = "en.wikipedia.org" (default)
"Platform" = "All" (default)
Agent = "User" (default)
"Include redirects" is checked.
Answer eligibility requirements:
Must not have exceeded 100k page views in any previous 12 months
For new articles less than 12 months old, must have at least one previous calendar month of under 100k monthly page views
May not be "seasonal" articles - i.e. "2028 U.S. Presidential Election" or "2026 Indian Premier League", "UFC 301" - as they can easily be predicted.
Any answer meeting the above criteria when added to this market will resolve YES if it meets or exceeds 200k page views in a given month prior to January 1st, 2026.
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My intention with this market is to learn of concepts, ideas, discoveries, people, etc who are not yet mainstream but will become (relatively) mainstream. Examples:
This article surpassed 200k monthly views in June 2017 before it blew up to over 950k monthly views in December 2017.
This article had 2,452 monthly views in January 2020. It had 1.1 million views in February 2020 before blowing up above 8.8 million views in March 2020.
This article surpassed 200k monthly views in March 2023.
Not sure why I can’t add more answers but I’d like to put on the record https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Klotho_(biology)
Inspired by https://pca.st/episode/744ad9aa-6f2a-46b2-9a90-3efa74b7cbde
Inspired by https://a16z.com/big-ideas-in-tech-2024/:
When Riot Games launched the series Arcane, based on League of Legends, it became Netflix’s #1 watched and top rated series. Companies like Riot, Epic, Supercell, and new next generation game companies are poised to become the next entertainment juggernauts with games replacing films as the core of the “next Disney.” This is already happening without the mainstream noticing and will accelerate in 2024.