https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_NBA_playoffs?useskin=vector#First_round
Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
Time Requirement: The market will be resolved based on a total of more than 10 minutes played across the entire series.
Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Upsets Determination Update:
The count of upsets will be determined based on seeding, not on betting odds.
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@dlin007 is this based on seed or betting odds?
Warriors favored over Rockets and Clippers (barely) favored over Nuggets (not sure that counts cause Nuggets opened as the favorite then Clippers were like 52% favorites entering game 1)
@dlin007 wanna define some terms for βeasilyβ? Like, would you place odds on Warriors win 2 or fewer games? (Truly βeasilyβ might be 1 or fewer but itβs tough, some 4-2s are ez and some are hard fought)
(I am basically getting caught up on the season now so have no real insight but I believe yours is indeed the contrarian position so Iβd blindly take the mainstream one)
@Ziddletwix "expert predictions"


warriors are also ~60% favorites on oddschecker

my prediction is they lose in 6 games or less, and that my subjective judgement is they lost easily. bunch of ways to quantify that e.g point differential, time spent leading, prediction market odds trends etc