Will the Israeli-Palestinian war end by January 20, 2025?
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Resolves YES if the war ends by 11:59PM Eastern Time on January 20, 2025, and NO otherwise. "The war ends" means that fighting/violence has stopped completely.

Inspired by https://www.timesofisrael.com/trump-told-netanyahu-he-wants-gaza-war-over-by-time-he-enters-office-sources/

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If the ceasefire would be in force, does that count? "fighting/violence has stopped completely", but maybe after a month it will resume (or not).

@mods, the creator states in their profile that they are "soft-quitting" Manifold and explicitly ask mods to resolve their markets, any guidance on how you plan on interpreting the market resolution criteria? As long as the ceasefire holds and no fighting takes place in Gaza, can this resolve to YES?

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