Among GitHub Copilot users, some fraction of their code is written by themselves and some generated by the model. In any population of users, what will be the highest fraction generated by the model as reported by a credible source by 2025? | Manifold

Among GitHub Copilot users, some fraction of their code is written by themselves and some generated by the model. In any population of users, what will be the highest fraction generated by the model as reported by a credible source by 2025?

Basic

5

Ṁ56

Dec 31

41%

Other

9%

80%

32%

50%

5%

60%

6%

70%

1.2%

90%

6%

40

As indicated by at least one study published in a peer-reviewed journal or news article published in a source considered "generally reliable" on Wikipedia.

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50% now: "the same amount of characters in the code are now completed with AI-based assistance as are manually typed by developers" From Google https://research.google/blog/ai-in-software-engineering-at-google-progress-and-the-path-ahead/

How are you resolving inexact answers? e.g. if 50% and 60% are responses and the actual highest reported percentage is 52%, how do you resolve it? (same question for 55% and 58%)

@vluzko To whatever is closest to the actual number. If two are closer in both directions, underestimating and overestimating by the same amount, I resolve for both.

Among GitHub Copilot users, some fraction of their code is written by themselves and some generated by the model. In any population of users, what will be the highest fraction generated by the model as reported by a credible source by 2025?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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By the End of the year what percentage of the code on Github will be AI generated?

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