Will Joe Biden Die before the end of his presidency

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Ṁ8216

2029

chance

ALL

If Joe Biden gets a second term in his presidency that is also included. Will resolve yes in january 2025 or january 2029 given Joe Biden is alive.

Close date updated to 2029-01-20 11:59 pm

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Will Joe Biden be alive at noon ET on 1/20/25?

59% chance.

https://manifold.markets/Radicalia/will-joe-biden-be-alive-at-noon-et?r=UmFkaWNhbGlh

Of the 45 presidents before Biden, 8 have died in office.

I'm confused by the resolution criteria. If Joe Biden is not re-elected and on Jan 20, 2025, he is alive after the next president is sworn in (i.e., he has not died before the end of his presidency), how will you resolve this question?

predicts YES

@EricMoyer Given Joe Biden is not re-elected, and is alive after the next president is sworn in this market will resolve no. You can think of it like, will Joe Biden die while being president. Sorry for the late reply.

Do you mean January 2025/2029?

@NcyRocks ops lol nice catch

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