Will there be an expert-player-beating AI (eg in a x-of-5 match beats Viper/Daut/Hera) in Age of Empires II (AoE2) by 2025?
16
1kṀ4912026
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
So there likely could be if a company devoted resources (given the history with Deepmind / Starcraft). But given the feat has already been accomplished in SC, the incentive for a company to devote resources here seems minimal.
I think there are 2 cases for a "Yes" outcome:
1. MSFT is testing gaming AIs and wants to train one on one of their games (i.e., AoE). But why not use AoE IV instead?
2. Technology develops such that individuals / small groups can train gaming AIs enough to beat a human on AoE II...that seems somewhat aggressive? And I'm not sure to what extent you need cooperation with the developer to develop this AI?
Also #TrebuchetGang
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
30% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
48% chance
Will there be an expert-player-beating AI in EU4 by 2026?
47% chance
Will there be an expert-player-beating AI in civ 6 by 2026?
49% chance
Will the top player in AoE2 lose against an AOE2 AI by EOY 2026? (must be at least 3 games)
41% chance
Will someone use brainwaves alone to play Age of Empires II (on PC or XBox) well enough to beat Moderate AI by EOY 2028?
19% chance
Will AI beat top human players at Civ6 (without cheating) by EOY 2026?
35% chance
Will an AI be able to play 3-person Monopoly Deal or an equivalent card game at a superhuman level by the end of 2025?
76% chance
Will AI create a decent remix of AOE2+Medieval Total War 2 music by EOY 2025?
59% chance
Will an AI system beat human performance in Trackmania Tool-Assisted Speedrunning by the end of 2025?
6% chance