Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030?

9

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2030

73%

chance

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This will resolve to YES,
if on Jan 1, 2030

Elon Musk has an active profile on X.com
//////////////////

if Elon dies
if X.com substantially rebrands
if Elon is banned from X
etc - will resolve to NO.

️ X (Twitter)

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predictedYES

What do you mean “if x .com substantially

rebrands

predictedNO

@GabeGarboden ie. if X.com does some pivot and changes it's branding (to, let's say "Y") and is very different platform, people don't refer to it as X anymore, but Elon's profile is still active there

No way he maintains an active account if he's pushed out and unless things change radically he will be

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