Will GPT-4 become more conservative in 2024?
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Plus
15
Ṁ1223
Jan 14
17%
chance

This market will resolve to YES, if at any point of 2024, ChatGPT (GPT-4) gives more conservative answers on the Political Compass Test.

The resolution source is TrackingAI, that queries multiple LLMs every day and scores them with a Politcal Compass Test.

The Social Value axis is used in this market, represented by a black line on TrackingAI website. To suffice YES, in 2024 there has to be at least 10 consequent measurements with a score -4.0 or higher,
or at least 5 consequent measurements with a score -3.8 or higher,
or at least one measurement with a score -3.5 or higher.

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never heard of trackingAI, very intersting. thanks for posting this question!

predictedNO

@SKy its from the same guy who did ElectionBettingOdds.com

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