Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
➕
Plus
96
Ṁ4734
2027
75%
chance

According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.

This market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.

Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.

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predicts YES

I have a slightly narrower version of this for folks who like complex scenario math:

predicts NO
predicts NO
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