Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
Basic
13
Ṁ3762033
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if on May 26 2032 (10 years from the date this market opened), the value of https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 > 3.5%. Resolves NO if <= 3.5%.
If this data source is not available, another equivalent one will be used.
For context, currently 10-year treasury yields are 2.75% and 30-year treasury yields are 2.99%: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/us
Related: https://manifold.markets/jack/mortgage-rates-higher-in-5-years
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 4% or higher?
92% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 3.5% or higher?
94% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 3% or higher?
95% chance
Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)?
99% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
40% chance
Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2024?
52% chance
Will the 30 year US Treasury Bond return more than the S&P 500 in 2024 in percentage terms?
Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?
35% chance