Will the Georgia v Trump case be removed to federal court?

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Context: https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/15/trump-georgia-case-removal-federal-court-00111240

An early test for Georgia prosecutors: Trump’s likely bid to take the case to federal court

He's virtually certain to try to transfer the case in hopes of a friendlier jury pool and the chance to draw one of his own judges.

Resolves YES if the Georgia case against Trump is removed to federal court. Resolves NO if a removal motion by Trump is denied, or the case is otherwise concluded without removal to federal court.

Definition:

federal law allows a prosecution or suit to be "removed" (i.e. transfered) from state to federal court if the case stems from a federal officer’s governmental duties.
This question resolves based on the venue of Trump's prosecution specifically. If another defendant is able to remove but not Trump, that doesn't count.
(Standard rule, just to be clear:) The close date does not matter for the resolution criteria of this market. It will be changed as needed.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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predicts NO

Clark was denied too https://t.co/RqWj6QazCd

predicts NO

Trump will NOT seek to remove his case to federal court.

predicts NO

@AdamTreat https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23997414-23sc188947-notice

I think this market could be resolved.

@AdamTreat Seems like it, but is there any significant chance that he could change his mind about the motion to remove to federal court?

predicts NO

@jack I honestly don't know what would happen if he tried to change his mind. You can keep it open just in case I guess, but seems extremely unlikely.

Arb opp https://manifold.markets/AdamTreat/will-any-of-the-19-defendants-in-fu?r=QWRhbVRyZWF0

Will any of the 19 defendants in Fulton County Trump case be removed to federal court?

47% chance. https://thehill.com/opinion/judiciary/4162801-can-trumps-co-defendants-make-a-federal-case-out-of-the-georgia-indictment/ Several of Trump's co-defendents are already petitioning a federal court to remove the case. It is widely speculated that Trump himself will try. This question resolves YES iff any of them succeed and NO iff no defendent is successful in having the case removed to federal court. To be very clear, if someone starts cooperating, the case drops, they die, etc this will resolve NO. The only way it will resolve YES is if someone successfully convinces a federal judge to remove the case and for that removal to be upheld on all reviews.

@AdamTreat Seems like a week arb, this market is Trump-specific, that market is any defendant.

predicts NO

@Jai Sure, but it is related at least. Do with it as you like.

https://www.wsj.com/us-news/donald-trump-georgia-indictment-federal-court-157367af

Donald Trump Is Likely to Try to Move Georgia Case to Federal Court. It Could Work.

Former president is expected to follow his ex-chief of staff’s lead and possibly delay trial

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