
Will the percentage of Americans who are religiously unaffiliated be greater in 2026 than it was in 2023?
8
220Ṁ2032026
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll resolve based on Pew: https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2024/01/24/religious-nones-in-america-who-they-are-and-what-they-believe/
Should Pew not be available for some reason, I'll consider some of the other data sources here: https://www.graphsaboutreligion.com/p/how-many-nones-are-there
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the percentage of the global population that is religiously unaffiliated increase from 16.4% by 2026?
76% chance
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
46% chance
Will voter participation in the US be higher in 2024 than 2020?
2% chance
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
69% chance
What percentage of people will identify as non-religious in the year 2023?
32
Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?
84% chance
Will the world be more religious on 21st April 2029 than on 21st April 2024?
27% chance
Will Americans' overall confidence in US institutions decline in 2025, according to Gallup?
83% chance
Will the percentage of philosophers identifying as religious in the next PhilPapers Survey decrease?
82% chance
Will more than 40% of respondents identify as having “No religion” in the 2041 UK Census?
92% chance