Will someone get canceled for a comment made on Manifold by the end of 2024?
Basic
11
Ṁ361Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1. Cancellation is defined as a large-scale public shaming campaign leading to some form of de-platforming.
2. Cancellation applies to a person with a reasonably large public following.
3. Cancellation is signaled (sufficiently but not necessarily) by the person having to react to the situation publicly.
4. For this market: The proximate cause of the cancellation is a comment on a Manifold question (any type).
5. I reserve the right to make a final decision and will not count manipulation attempts towards a YES resolution.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will someone get canceled for a question asked on Manifold by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will someone get canceled for a position held on Manifold by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will Manifold allow you to delete your own comments by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will someone get canceled for a league chat message made on Manifold by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will the described dynamic mostly stop happening on Manifold by the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will I get "canceled" for something I post on Twitter or Manifold by 2030?
15% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
29% chance
Will i get banned on Manifold before 2025?
10% chance
Will Manifold announce they intend to shut down before 2025?
3% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2024?
11% chance