How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025) | Manifold

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

25

1.3kṀ18k

Dec 30

82%

4900

65%

4800

48%

4700

36%

4600

33%

4500

27%

4400

21%

4300

20%

4200

14%

4100

12%

4000

Resolved

YES

5900

Resolved

YES

5800

Resolved

YES

5700

Resolved

YES

5600

Resolved

YES

5500

Resolved

YES

5400

Resolved

YES

5300

Resolved

YES

5200

Resolved

YES

5100

Resolved

YES

5000

If S&P trades below a number at any point in 2025 that number resolves YES

S&P 500 Changes

Get

1,000

to start trading!

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How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

S&P 500 above 5000 at close of April, 2025?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

S&P 500 closes below 4,000 before August 31, 2025

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index drop below 4000 before EOY 2028?

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Seems like we should add more options.

bought Ṁ100 YES

oh my goodness gracious..

Wtaf

@Bayesian the jimline is not all fun and games

bought Ṁ10 YES

bought Ṁ10 YES

bought Ṁ10 YES

bought Ṁ650 YES

@jim YIKES

i want to get off mr @jim 's wild ride

@Ziddletwix mr jim pls let the number go up

bought Ṁ500 YES

You people have a lot of rational faith in me.

@Bayesian can you put some limits up here?

@jim uh idk what the option implied price is

@SemioticRivalry want to fill my 5800 order?

People are also trading

How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

S&P 500 above 5000 at close of April, 2025?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

S&P 500 closes below 4,000 before August 31, 2025

+13% 1d32% chance

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index drop below 4000 before EOY 2028?

Related questions

How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

S&P 500 above 5000 at close of April, 2025?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

S&P 500 closes below 4,000 before August 31, 2025

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index drop below 4000 before EOY 2028?

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