Clone of https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-complete-his-term-as-president?tid=1719729460020
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden successfully finishes his term as President of the United States of America without any interruptions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will not resolve "Yes" until the presidency is successfully transferred from Biden to another person at the completion of his term on January 20, 2025, or until Biden is sworn into the presidency again on that date.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves identically to the Polymarket market.
1,000
3.00@persimmon Be careful, not quite sure where youโre heading with this but you want to tread delicately.
@Predictor Youโre just instigating. Youโre well aware there are at least three options on the table here and only one of them is hairy.
@persimmon I just donโt like where this is heading and where your head is at, thatโs all. Makes me weary.
Guy 1: "eh it seems possible"
Guy 2: uses thinly veiled threat that suggests some form of violence
?????????? Bro, what are you doing?
@Gameknight Threat? I'm worried Weston is insinuating he will do something to move the percent here (ala Luigi). I just want to check him at the door to keep those intrusive thoughts out of his head. It's not worth it.
@Gameknight Personally, I don't like how you're coming at me with this violent rhetoric of insults, so let's try to cool it.
@Gameknight Honestly, I have no idea then what you're getting at this point. Life isn't a 4chan meme so maybe communicate like a normal person?
Letโs just hope that the American democracy isnโt completely joeverโฆ please make the right choice in the eelctionsโฆ help yourselvesโฆ your alliesโฆ Ukraineโฆ. If you abandon us now itโs the same story as with WW2.. donโt make the mistakes of Britain and Franceโฆ
List of Russian wars and events similar to WW2
Chechnya = Anschluss/saarland
Georgia = Sudetenland
Crimea = Anschluss
Invasion of Ukraine = Poland
Vote for the prevalence of democracyโฆ. Do not sacrifice others for yourselvesโฆ. Save yourselves and othersโฆ do not throw your allies to the wolvesโฆ do not leave the world to fall to the despotic and authoritarian regimes of China, North Korea and Russiaโฆ
Trump vows to make peace but he will make peace at the expense of Ukraineโฆ. Not Russiaโฆ.
sell order at 90%. interested parties may arb with https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/will-joe-biden-resign-in-his-first as far as I can tell
@Bayesian It's a very good deal, yes, I just didn't want to keep getting further into this trade because too much of my net worth is now bound up in these two dumb markets.
If loans come back, I'll be able to go back to doing more trades like this