Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30 | Manifold

Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30

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The fact that deepseek is there with an MIT license is

1) bloody awesome

2) should make it easier to surpass for everyone else since they can directly build on it

I think deepseek's current results are easy to replicate. But not sure what Xai's release schedule is going to look like.

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will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?

When will DeepSeek release R2?

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?

Will X be merged into xAI in 2025?

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

will the publicly disclosed xAI market cap exceed OpenAI's market cap at end of year 2025?

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