Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?
Basic
5
Ṁ9752042
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if monkey beats minecraft first (according criteria outline here)
Resolves NO if we make AGI first
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
43% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
74% chance
Will monkey beat Minecraft by 2030?
12% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
80% chance
Will any game be beaten by a monkey this year?
27% chance
Before 2030, will we have AI that can play Minecraft, understand movies, etc. and not resist shutdown?
68% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
64% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2025?
12% chance
Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?
72% chance
Will we have AGI before a Mars colony?
72% chance