Will John Redwood lose his seat at the next general election?
Mini
4
40
2025
47%
chance

Resolves to YES if at the next UK general election, John Redwood fails to be elected to the House of Commons (regardless of which constituency he stands in; he is currently the MP for Wokingham). It doesn't matter whether or not he stands as a Conservative. This market resolves to N/A if he is not a candidate in the next general election.

Inspired by this tweet by Sam Freedman: https://twitter.com/Samfr/status/1655165111550476288

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John Redwood is standing down, so this will be a N/A unless he changes his mind in the next few days.