In what year will X be worth more than what Elon acquired Twitter for? | Manifold

In what year will X be worth more than what Elon acquired Twitter for?

Plus

15

Ṁ643

2030

4%

2023

7%

2024

25%

2025

23%

2030

41%

N/A (it won’t)

Elon finished his aqquisition of Twitter in Oct. 2022 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acquisition_of_Twitter_by_Elon_Musk

The buyout offer was for $44b. May 2023 Fidelity valued Twitter at $15b https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/twitters-value-plummets-by-two-thirds-musks-costly-acquisition-takes-a-hit-report-101685534330944-amp.html

Twitter is now being rebranded to X with the goal of "adding comprehensive communications and financial applications" https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/07/25/musk-explains-why-hes-rebranding-twitter-to-x.html

Will it ever be worth more than the buyout?

EDIT: Nominal value will be taken and years rounded.

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I assume a purely nominal dollar value counts. Given the inflation 2030 seems possible. Or do you plan to calculate the „real“ 2023-dollar valuation?

If it happens in 2026, world you resolve 2025 the „closest one“ or 2030 the „next one“?

@MaxPayne Good questions. Nominal and would round to closest one.

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