Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2025? | Manifold

Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2025?

Basic

10

Ṁ763

Jan 1

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

"More effective" - among all potential users, the treatment promotes better average hair restoration than any individual existing treatment (combinations of treatments do not count). Less side effects is not the same as better effectiveness.

Example of a high potential treatment:

Related marker (2 years longer):

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predicts YES

@ElizabethJSmith Why?

predicts NO

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