Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup?
Basic
24
Ṁ1146
2032
20%
Other
13%
Morocco
10%
Mexico
9%
Korea Republic
9%
Nigeria
8%
USA
7%
Saudi Arabia
6%
Senegal
6%
Iran
4%
Japan
4%
Ivory Coast
1.2%
Mali

All previous World Cup winners have been from Europe or South America. This will keep extending until a team that is not European or South American wins. Currently listing the top ten teams from the Men's Coca Cola rankings as options.

Related market: https://manifold.markets/m2/will-a-noneuropean-or-nonsouth-amer

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bought Ṁ50 Saudi Arabia NO

US is so high it’s even funny

bought Ṁ10 Iran YES

Morocco's pretty high on this one. One miracle World Cup run does not a great soccer nation make. (the Coca-Cola rankings are pretty heavily influenced by the 2022 run).

Also surprised Saudi Arabia wasn't suggested. The power of money in sports is great. They're basically hiring mercenaries from top soccer nations, can hire any top coach, and can spend as much as they need to on training

@m2 I stand corrected. I was thinking of Qatar: https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/12/16/team-qatar-wanted-immigrant-players-not-citizens/

Still wouldn't put it past Saudi Arabia to try a subtler version of this given the amount the country is willing to invest in soccer