Will JEPA models become mainstream by the end of 2025?
Plus
20
Ṁ20842026
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
JEPA is a new architecture proposed by Yann Le Cun. He believes they are the way forward in AI, eventually to outperform current approaches such as LLMs trained on next token prediction.
This resolves yes if at least one AI company will deploy a JEPA in production to deliver an AI service considered state of the art by midnight Dec 31, 2025.
The service may still be in beta but must be accessible to a reasonable number of people or businesses. It could be deployed in non customer facing roles as long as it has major impact (e.g. in robotics applied to some popular product). The company may be a new one, even a startup, but it must be clear that the product is really existing and outperforming traditional approaches.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Hierarchical JEPA be implemented before 2030?
67% chance
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
36% chance
Will any Deepmind model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)
22% chance
Will AutoGPT-style AI Agents mostly work before the end of 2024?
17% chance
Will a model costing >$30M be intentionally trained to be more mechanistically interpretable by end of 2027? (see desc)
57% chance
Will any model get above human level on the Simple Bench benchmark before September 1st, 2025.
55% chance
Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?
46% chance
AI: Will any model 10x ChatGPT peak interest? (by 2025)
5% chance
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
43% chance