Will Elon musk announce plans to create a manifold clone/competitor by Jan 1st 2026?
16
100Ṁ6342026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The competitior doesn't need to launch by Jan 1 2026, he just needs to announce his ambitions to do so.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
How serious should his announcement? Elon writes all sorts of stuff on X and doesn't necessarily mean that he's going to work on it
People are also trading
Related questions
Elon Musk publicly mentions or responds related to Manifold again by mid 2025
48% chance
Will Elon musk make a tweet about manifold by end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Elon join Manifold through 2025?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Elon Musk implement a new type of bet interaction (like Manifold) to X.com / Twitter before July 2024?
Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027
20% chance
Was Elon Musk an active Manifold user between December 2024 and April 2025?
21% chance
Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
12% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
32% chance
Will there be an official Manifold cryptocurrency by 2030?
14% chance