Will Gregor be right about 2024?
Plus
21
Ṁ1232Dec 31
42%
AI illustrations get more minimalist and less cliche
78%
The loud AI revolution becomes more quiet and subtle
87%
More media company partnerships with tech companies (like Springer-OpenAI)
16%
Web3 has a comeback (a little)
5%
X, formerly Twitter, becomes irrelevant like the Left party in Germany's parliament
This is a 2024 forecast blog post with five predictions. Since the author, Gregor Schmalzried, also rates his previous forecast about 2023, we can assume he will do a similar post in a year. I will resolve the answers accordingly. Resolves NA if no such blog post gets published and Gregor cannot be reached otherwise.
I translated the predictions very liberally. So you might want to read the linked blog post for details.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Gary Marcus 2024 predictions
Will Jan Bosch be right about 2024?
Will there be a significant surprise in 2024 that will shape the year?
68% chance
Will Greg Brockman's bullish optimism on AI in 2024 prove true?
20% chance
Will @MatthewYglesias's 2024 predictions perform at least as well as his 2023 predictions by his own assessment?
32% chance
What will be true of Donald Trump in 2024?
Will Matt Welch's prediction of deadly political violence in the US in 2024 hold up?
3% chance
Will Greg Abbott be elected president of the United States in 2028?
1% chance
Which social election "prediction" will correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 election