Will Elon Musk get fired from the Trump administration?
14
100Ṁ184
2029
37%
chance

If Elon leaves Trump’s administration, will it be because he was fired? Resolves YES if Trump fires Elon, or otherwise takes an action to force him out of his position (e.g. eliminating his DOGE agency).

Resolves NO if Elon quits before being fired, or if Elon lasts for the entire Trump second term. Resolves N/A if Elon doesn’t join the Trump administration.

If Elon moves to another role in the Trump government, this extends on in that new role.

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