[US] Ukraine Aid before Israeli Aid (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ vs. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ)
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6
แน€187
Jan 1
15%
chance

Which USA aid package will pass first? Ukraine Aid [YES] or Israeli Aid [NO]?

If thereโ€™s some existing fund shifted around, that wonโ€™t count for purposes of this market. Aid must be new (not part of pre-planned, or recurring legislation) and Congressionally approved.

Market will extend as needed.

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House Republicans unveil aid bills for Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan as Johnson pushes forward

The three bills would provide $26.4 billion to support Israel, $60.8 billion to bolster Ukraine and $8.1 billion to counter China in the Indo-Pacific, including billions for Taiwan. The Israel bill also includes more than $9.1 billion to address humanitarian needs, which Democrats said was necessary for their support

Now that these are confirmed to be separate bills, this is a sequencing market. Will the Ukraine aid bill be put on the floor first, and pass?

What happens if both pass in the same bill

@ShakedKoplewitz Resolves NO. Ukraine aid didnโ€™t pass first.

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