Resolves YES if the US federal government has shut down (last happened in 2018-2019) before a bilateral Israel:Hamas ceasefire has been established, and NO otherwise.
Resolves YES the instant the government shuts down, and Resolves NO the instant both Israel and Hamas begin a cessation of violence. A formal armistice or other permanent cessation of the conflict will count as a ceasefire.
Market will extend as needed.
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@nathanwei I assume that youโre talking about a full โconqueringโ situation (for lack of a better word). If that reaches a state where there is no violence afterwards, I think that would likely count same as an armistice, as it would be a โpermanent cessationโ of fighting.
Iโm nearly certain that invading Rafah will not result in an end to violence, but thereโs a chance.
@mattyb There will be isolated things here and there, but Hamas won't control or administer any territory. It will be like PIJ or ISIS nowadays.