Will there be more NATO countries at the end of 2024 than there are today (October 17, 2023)?
Basic
41
Ṁ6.3k2025
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of time of posting, there are 31 NATO countries: Albania, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Republic of Macedonia, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
On December 31, 2024, this will resolve to true if NATO has 32 or more members.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
44% chance
Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?
Which countries will join NATO by 2030? 🌐➕
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
Will a NATO country shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?
27% chance
Who will be the next country to join NATO?
Will any NATO nation (including France) send troops to Ukraine in 2024?
23% chance
Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?
61% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2040?
46% chance
Will any country withdraw from NATO by the start of 2032?
23% chance