What year will we see alien technosignatures?
Mini
3
Ṁ252200
2053
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Looking out beyond our solar system, if there's something out there eventually we'll see it. Resolves to the year we finally spot something. If it takes a while to confirm, it still resolves to the year we detected it.
Resolves to 2000 if it ends up being some time earlier.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
I guess JGalt has a version of this that's been around for much longer. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5858/when-will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected/
Related questions
Related questions
Will we detect extraterrestrial intelligent life in the universe by 2124?
31% chance
Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2050?
24% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
33% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?
48% chance
Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100?
30% chance
Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?
29% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2040?
26% chance
will we have evedence of aliens before 9000?
28% chance
Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
10% chance
In 2100, will there be an expert consensus that aliens have been observed?
28% chance